Providence
W-L: (12-25) PR = 93.9864Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 927 H Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 6- 1 1003 H Quinnipiac AC (28- 8, 97.7) 2- 5 1004 A Quinnipiac AC (28- 8, 97.7) 0- 5 1010 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 0- 4 1011 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 1- 5 1017 H Clarkson AC (20-11, 96.7) 2- 1 1018 H Clarkson AC (20-11, 96.7) 0- 3 1024 A St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 7- 6 1025 A St. Thomas HA (12-23, 96.2) 1- 5 1031 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 3- 2 1101 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 1- 1 1107 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 2- 4 1108 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 5- 1 1114 A Princeton AC (23-10, 97.1) 0- 3 1115 A Princeton AC (23-10, 97.1) 1- 3 1121 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 1- 4 1122 H Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 2- 2 1129 A Brown AC (18-15, 96.0) 3- 2 1205 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 3- 2 1205 H Stonehill WHA (18-20, 93.7) 0- 6 1206 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 3- 2 102 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 4 103 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 0- 5 109 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 5 116 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 2- 8 119 A Yale AC (25- 9, 97.2) 2- 4 123 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 1- 2 123 A Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 1- 2 124 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 0- 3 130 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 4- 1 131 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 3- 2 206 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 2 207 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 2- 3 213 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 2- 1 214 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 3- 2 214 H Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 1- 5 220 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 1- 3 221 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 4 225 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
927 H Sacred Heart 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.01
1003 H Quinnipiac 2- 5 -3 -3 0.31
1004 A Quinnipiac 0- 5 -5 -4 -0.92
1010 A Northeastern 0- 4 -4 -3 -0.98
1011 H Boston College 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.53
1017 H Clarkson 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.32
1018 H Clarkson 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.68
1024 A St. Thomas 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.62
1025 A St. Thomas 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.38
1031 H Maine 3- 2 1 0 1.24
1101 H Maine 1- 1 0 0 0.24
1107 A New Hampshire 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.29
1108 H New Hampshire 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.93
1114 A Princeton 0- 3 -3 -4 0.54
1115 A Princeton 1- 3 -2 -4 1.54
1121 A Boston University 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.23
1122 H Boston University 2- 2 0 0 -0.00
1129 A Brown 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.38
1205 H Merrimack 3- 2 1 1 0.10
1205 H Stonehill 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.67
1206 A Merrimack 3- 2 1 0 0.87
102 H Connecticut 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.48
103 A Connecticut 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.71
109 H Northeastern 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.75
116 A Boston College 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.76
119 A Yale 2- 4 -2 -4 1.57
123 A Holy Cross 1- 2 -1 -1 0.35
123 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.27
124 H Holy Cross 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.42
130 A Vermont 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.15
131 A Vermont 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.15
206 H Connecticut 1- 2 -1 -3 1.52
207 A Merrimack 2- 3 -1 0 -1.13
213 A Boston College 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.24
214 H Holy Cross 3- 2 1 -1 1.58
214 H Franklin Pierce 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.21
220 A Boston University 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.23
221 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 -2 0.25
225 A Boston University 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Stonehill 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.67 116 A Boston College 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.76 214 H Franklin Pierce 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.21 1011 H Boston College 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.53 1121 A Boston University 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.23 123 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.27 124 H Holy Cross 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.42 225 A Boston University 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H Sacred Heart 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.01 1108 H New Hampshire 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.93 130 A Vermont 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.15 1017 H Clarkson 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.32 1024 A St. Thomas 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.62 1129 A Brown 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.38 131 A Vermont 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.15 213 A Boston College 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.24 |
Providence Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Lindenwood | Providence | Providence 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Mercyhurst | |
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| RIT | RIT | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | RIT | |
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Robert Morris | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Syracuse | |
| Brown | Providence | Providence | ||
| Clarkson | Clarkson | Clarkson 6- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate 5- 3 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Providence | |
| Harvard | Harvard | tied - ( 4- 6) ( 4- 5) | Harvard | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | ||
| RPI | Providence | Providence 3- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| St. Lawrence | St. Lawrence | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | St. Lawrence | |
| Union | Providence | Providence 4- 4 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Maine | Providence | Providence | ||
| Merrimack | Providence | Providence | ||
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | New Hampshire 5- 2 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | Northeastern | ||
| Vermont | Providence | Providence | ||
| Assumption | Providence | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Providence | |
| Franklin Pierce | Franklin Pierce | Franklin Pierce | ||
| LIU | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Providence | |
| Post | Post | Post | ||
| Sacred Heart | Providence | Providence | ||
| Saint Anselm | Saint Anselm | Saint Anselm 4- 3 vs 2- 2 | ||
| St.Michael's | St.Michael's | St.Michael's | ||
| Stonehill | Stonehill | Stonehill | ||
| Bemidji State | Bemidji State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Bemidji State | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Minnesota State | Minnesota State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Minnesota State | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Ohio State | |
| St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St. Cloud State | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin 5- 1 vs 2- 3 |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 6- 1 -6.52 1.41 -0.39 0.93 1.91
0 H Quinnipiac (28- 8, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.22 5.71 -0.39 0.93 -1.21
0 A Quinnipiac (28- 8, 97.7) 0- 5 -2.22 5.71 0.39 0.93 -0.85
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 0- 4 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.93 -1.34
0 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 1- 5 -5.06 2.87 -0.39 0.93 -2.53
0 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.7) 2- 1 -3.21 4.72 -0.39 0.93 8.05
0 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.7) 0- 3 -3.21 4.72 -0.39 0.93 -1.67
0 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 7- 6 -3.68 4.25 0.39 0.93 8.61
0 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 1- 5 -3.68 4.25 0.39 0.93 -1.53
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 3- 2 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.93 4.19
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 1- 1 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.93 203.43
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 2- 4 -4.59 3.34 0.39 0.93 -1.95
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 5- 1 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.93 5.48
0 A Princeton (23-10, 97.1) 0- 3 -2.76 5.17 0.39 0.93 -1.10
0 A Princeton (23-10, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.76 5.17 0.39 0.93 -1.10
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 1- 4 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.93 -2.39
0 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 2- 2 -5.53 2.40 -0.39 0.93 203.43
0 A Brown (18-15, 96.0) 3- 2 -3.92 4.01 0.39 0.93 8.16
0 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 3- 2 -6.43 1.50 -0.39 0.93 2.07
0 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.7) 0- 6 -6.19 1.74 -0.39 0.93 -3.05
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 3- 2 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.93 3.50
0 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 4 -3.01 4.92 -0.39 0.93 -1.58
0 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 0- 5 -3.01 4.92 0.39 0.93 -1.22
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.93 -1.70
0 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 2- 8 -5.06 2.87 0.39 0.93 -2.17
0 A Yale (25- 9, 97.2) 2- 4 -2.73 5.20 0.39 0.93 -1.09
0 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 1- 2 -4.95 2.98 0.39 0.93 -2.12
0 A Post (11-28, 92.3) 1- 2 -7.57 1.00 0.39 0.93 -3.33
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 0- 3 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.93 -2.48
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 4- 1 -5.15 2.78 0.39 0.93 5.88
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.15 2.78 0.39 0.93 5.88
0 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 2 -3.01 4.92 -0.39 0.93 -1.58
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 2- 3 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.93 -2.80
0 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.06 2.87 0.39 0.93 6.05
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 3- 2 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.93 4.81
0 H Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 1- 5 -5.73 2.20 -0.39 0.93 -2.84
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 1- 3 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.93 -2.39
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.93 -1.70
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 0- 3 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.93 -2.39
------
423.38
|
winning pts = 64.5898 losing points = -48.0805
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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